More importantly, who will win if Nato decides to declare war on Russia, the worlds most formidable nuclear power? Beijing and Moscow have invested heavily in their militaries, but only boast around 3,000 and 4,000 total aircraft respectively. In addition, the United States can actively lead its allies in Europe and the Indo-Pacific to develop a free world defense strategy. Is the Biden administrations China policy too hawkish? By signing up, I agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to occasionally receive special offers from Foreign Policy. An expert's point of view on a current event. China Is Challenging NATO Over Russia's Ukraine War: Jens - Newsweek This was CNBC's live blog tracking developments on the war in Ukraine on Feb.27, 2023. Originally Posted by Renegade. Orwell's prediction of an endless, three-way global confrontation proved premature. Trumps executive overreach on the border wall was wrong, so is Bidens student loan nonsense Their predictions are that NATO would win but with devastating losses. It is not clear if NATO could defeat China in a war. China Eyes Two Wins on Ukraine: Ending Russia's War and NATO - Newsweek Ukraines economy and infrastructure have been dealt blows that will take decades to recover from. Stoltenberg told the AP that following talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan last week he could see Turkey is moving closer to being ready to ratify and (to) welcome Finland into the alliance. These dictators could coordinate dual attacks on the U.S. alliance structure or opportunistically seize on the distraction provided by the others aggression. Now, lets look at the data. Wood said he does not know if that is necessarily true, but said Russia . You can manage them any time by clicking on the notification icon. "The situation is still very tense and China is trying to destroy the status quo or at least the symbol of the status quo, which is the median line of the Taiwan Strait. With a naval fleet comprised of 777 ships and two aircraft carriers, Beijing's forces dominate in the region. This website stores cookies on your computer. A More Muscular NATO Emerges as West Confronts Russia and China. Although NATO is a larger military force, factors such as population size, geography and differing political systems could be key to determining the outcome of a conflict. Youre on the list! Alex says. Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a frank discussion about the Biden administrations China policy and alternatives that it ought to consider. Answer (1 of 62): I see alot of Americans here with an idea that such a war between NATO and Russia and China would be an easy win. Allies do need, therefore, to step up and do more for their defense, but they will not do it on their own if the United States threatens to leave Europe. Washington and its allies have said in recent weeks that China was considering . Even if Moscow holds onto territory, the war has wrecked its future. China, as an authoritarian power, can mobilize its population behind a conflict more easily. Police dog debate is barking up the wrong tree Air power is key in modern conflicts. If you are interested in the rise of China and its relationship with the West, we highly recommend the book The Long Game: Chinas Grand Strategy to Displace American Order byRush Doshi. Crediting former Russian Foreign Minister and Prime Minister Yevgeny Primakov for the strategic RIC grouping, he said, "RIC is a platform for India and China in our presence, because they might not feel comfortable being one-on-one all the time to find some additional common grounds." However, not all NATO countries would defend Taiwan. Californias bullet train almost seems designed to discredit state government This is another factor that makes it clear that NATO is a stronger military force than China. China The following states joined the treaty after 1949: Greece, Germany, Turkey and Spain. Russia and China flew joint bomber patrols over the Pacific. Douglas Schoen is a longtime Democratic political consultant. However, the Chinese government does not have an official policy against NATO and it cannot be said that everyone in China has a hatred for the alliance. In addition, Xi is gauging U.S. resolve, and a weak response in Ukraine might make a Chinese move on Taiwan more likely. The small central European country now hosts thousands of NATO troops while allied aircraft patrol its skies, allowing Bratislava to consider becoming the first nation to send fighter jets . The NATO bombing of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade is a major cause of hatred for the alliance among some of the Chinese population. Russias long-term economic outlook is even worse. This alliance of autocracies, as Steven Lee Myers aptly deemed it, is built on a mutual belief that the Wests supremacy has declined, and that as great powers, China and Russia are entitled to rule their own spheres of influence and to use brute force to suppress human rights, self-determination and democracy. War between Russia and China BRUCE RUSSETT ALLAN C. STAM the process of NATO expansion is on track never! Russia has over 600 ships and one aircraft carrier. If Putin had hoped to weaken NATO, the very opposite has happened, with Finland and Sweden on the cusp of joining the transatlantic military alliance. Who would win a war between NATO vs Russia and China? China is also one contiguous territory, whereas NATO is divided across the North Atlantic. An alliance between two of the worlds most powerful despots leading an axis of evil with Iran and North Korea poses a unique and immense threat to the democratic values we cherish. Additionally, in light of Putins decision to pull out of the bilateral New START treaty intended to limit the nuclear weapons both nations could deploy the U.S. should restart and enhance our nuclear weapons development program. well, Russia and China. NATO's main headquarters are located in Brussels. These differences may also be crucial in determining the outcome of any war between China and NATO. Keep up with the world without stopping yours. U.S. needs to break the Russia-China alliance NATO has over 4,000 more combat aircraft than China does. No large protests. In Germany and Britain, left-wing organizations brought thousands into the streets to condemn NATO . China should not support Russias illegal war., Stoltenberg said potential Chinese assistance would amount to providing (direct) support to a blatant violation of international law, and of course (as) a member of the U.N. security council China should not in any way support violation of the U.N. charter, or international law.. Currently, China focuses on domestic weapon designs and manufacturing, while still importing certain military products from Russia, such as jet engines. Russia has invaded its' former Republics and thus causing NATO to declare war on them. "The status quo across the Taiwan Strait has been seen as the interest of all parties concerned in this area, or globally. Members who joined after the dissolution of the Soviet Union: Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Albania, Croatia, Montenegro and North Macedonia. So far, more . Russia is unlikely to accept the decision and will certainly not refrain from flying over Ukraine an all-out war is sure. NATO chief sees 'some signs' China could back Russia's war The question on everybodys mind though is what Nato will do if the conflict escalates further. That is not clear and may not be as assured. For the West to prevail, the United States must lead the fight with a strategy suited to the complex challenges we face. Following the implementation of international sanctions during the war, China provided economic relief to Russia. did not have to be awakened. Written by the former American General and National Security Advisor, it is one of the best theories on what NATO stands for today and how the alliance should tackle global threats. The basic agreement is that an attack on one is an attack on all. Ive argued that the passive foreign policy of former President Obama and the isolationist tendencies of former President Trump created a leadership vacuum on the world stage and damaged essential relationships with our allies in Asia, Europe and the Middle East. Twitter:@matthewkroenig. Owner of this site is not responsible for potential mistakes or lacks of data. 20,155. He stressed that while NATO is no party to the Ukraine conflict its tasks are to ensure that Ukraine prevails and to prevent this war from escalating beyond Ukraine and becoming a full-fledged war between Russia and NATO., He said the main message from the meeting in Warsaw was that we will provide support to Ukraine for as long as it takes., It would be a "tragedy for the Ukrainians if President Putin wins in Ukraine, Stoltenberg said, and also dangerous for all of us because it would send the message to all authoritarian leaders that when they use military force, they get what they want.. The question would be, would this be seen as an attack on NATO or not? Usernames may be updated at any time and must not contain inappropriate or offensive language. Related Articles the outcome for the U.S. was not a good one, a new report revealed this week. Russia and China are set to hold military drills alongside a number of other countries as tensions with the west grow. The U.S. March 1, 2023 - Russia-Ukraine news - CNN More ways to stay updated on global news: By submitting your email, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to receive email correspondence from us. And they've deployed recently upgraded . Who would win in an ultimate showdown between the liberal democra. Weekly update on developments in India and its neighbors. In order to understand Chinas position on NATO, is it important to know that China sees NATO as a crucial foundation of Western global dominance, which China opposes. Others would be unwilling to join a US-China war, seeing it as not in their interest. Opinion | The answer is not so simple but the consequences will be unimaginable. Russia would not have invaded, the war never would have started a . Turkish expat in UAE wins Dh15 million in Big Ticket, Photos: Medvedev wins in Dubai for 3rd title in 3 weeks, Pakistani begins journey to conquer 14 highest peaks, Medvedev triumphs over Rublev in Dubai tennis. If Putin had hoped to weaken NATO, the very opposite has happened, with Finland and Sweden on the cusp of joining the transatlantic military alliance. But many in the West have called for action citing a bigger danger if Russias offensive in Ukraine is not checked now. Moreover, if Russian President Vladimir Putin succeeds in Ukraine, why would he stop there? Geographically, the combined territory of all the countries NATO is larger than China although both are enormous. Some NATO members, such as Albania, North Macedonia and Montenegro, are closely linked economically to China. Throughout the war, the US and other NATO allies have been steadily increasing the amount of security assistance for Ukraine, outfitting Kyiv with billions of dollars in advanced artillery systems, missile defense batteries, and other deadly weapons. NATOs aim is to provide collective security to European countries and does not officially take aggressive military action. This is especially critical in light of recent reports from American intelligence agencies that China may supply Russia with weapons to aid its war against Ukraine, which would be an alarming escalation and a break from Chinas ostensibly neutral stance on the war. One thing that has become crystal clear as Russia continues to advance in Ukraine is how helpless the United States-led Nato alliance looks despite calls to act more decisively to stop the war. First, Washington should increase defense spending. Russia-Ukraine war updates for March 2, 2023 - CNBC To address this problem, many have proposed answers that simply will not work. When it comes to personnel, China . NATO chief sees 'some signs' China could back Russia's war Considering some militants as instruments of regional influence while fighting others has had disastrous consequences. This growing idea was notably floated by the UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss last week. Indeed, given that this new Cold War is every bit as dangerous as the last one, a meaningful increase in defense spending, focused on the 21st centurys emerging defense technologies, is in order. And why would China be against it? China has pointedly refused to criticize the invasion of Ukraine while echoing Moscows claim that the U.S. and NATO were to blame for provoking the Kremlin.